India’s Q4 GDP Growth Likely At 7.4%: Icra

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(LiveMint)

Rating agency Icra Ltd expects gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the fourth quarter of the fiscal 2017-18 at 7.4% on account of good rabi crop harvest and improved corporate earnings, up from 7.2% in the third quarter. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) is scheduled to come out with GDP estimate for the March 2018 quarter and provisional annual estimates for the year 2017-18 on 31 May.

“The domestic GDP growth rate is expected to improve to 7.4% in Q4 FY2018 from 7.2% in Q3 FY2018, exceeding the implicit forecast of 7.1% embedded in the CSO’s Second Advance Estimate of National Income for 2017-18,” Icra said in a release. As per Icra, the growth of the Indian gross value added (GVA) at basic prices in year-on-year (YoY) terms is likely to record a considerable recovery to 7.3% in Q4 FY2018 from 6.7% in Q3 FY2018, thereby rebounding above 7% after a gap of five quarters.

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